### Key Points
- Research suggests Topeka's real estate market is competitive but stabilizing, with a slight price dip in early 2025.
- It seems likely that home prices will grow moderately, with a forecasted 1.1% increase by April 2025.
- The evidence leans toward strong demand, with homes selling quickly, though days on market have increased slightly.
- Topeka remains affordable, 56% below the national median, attracting buyers and investors.
#### Market Overview
Topeka's housing market is very competitive, with a Redfin Compete Score of 87, indicating high demand and limited inventory. Homes typically sell within 12 days on average, though the median days on market rose to 35 days in February 2025, suggesting a slight cooling compared to previous years.
#### Price Trends
The median sale price in February 2025 was $162,990, down 4.0% from last year, but forecasts predict a 1.1% increase by April 2025, with a 3.0% rise expected by January 2026. This affordability, being 56% below the national median of $396,900, makes Topeka attractive for buyers.
#### Sales and Inventory
In February 2025, 111 homes were sold, up 5.7% from the previous year, showing sustained buyer interest. Many homes receive multiple offers, though they sell about 2% below list price, possibly due to recent price adjustments.
#### Outlook
Topeka's ranking as a top emerging market in 2023 suggests strong long-term potential, supported by economic stability and low living costs, 14% below the national average. Higher mortgage rates (6.65% for 30-year fixed) may impact affordability, but no significant crash is expected.
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### Comprehensive Analysis of Topeka, Kansas Real Estate Trends (April 2025)
This detailed analysis provides a thorough examination of the current real estate trends in Topeka, Kansas, as of April 2025, drawing from multiple reliable sources to offer insights for buyers, sellers, and investors. The market's dynamics, including price trends, sales activity, inventory levels, and future projections, are explored to provide a holistic view.
#### Market Context and Competitiveness
Topeka's housing market is characterized by high competitiveness, with a Redfin Compete Score of 87 out of 100, indicating strong demand and limited inventory. This competitiveness is evident in the rapid sales pace, with homes typically reaching a pending status in about 12 days. However, recent data from February 2025 shows the median days on market increased to 35 days, up from 20 days the previous year, suggesting a slight shift toward a more balanced market. This could indicate either an increase in inventory or a cooling in buyer urgency, possibly influenced by economic factors such as higher mortgage rates.
The market's competitive nature is further supported by the fact that many homes receive multiple offers, though they are selling approximately 2% below the list price. This trend, unusual for a competitive market, may reflect recent price adjustments following a period of significant growth, as noted in historical data from 2024.
#### Price Trends and Affordability
As of February 2025, the median sale price in Topeka was $162,990, reflecting a 4.0% decrease compared to the previous year. This dip aligns with observations of a possible price correction after robust growth in prior years, with some sources reporting median prices as high as $220,000 in earlier periods (e.g., May 2024, per NeighborhoodScout). Despite this recent decline, Topeka remains highly affordable, with a median sale price 56% below the national median of $396,900 (January 2025, per Norada Real Estate). This affordability is a key factor attracting buyers and investors, especially given the cost of living in Topeka is 14% below the national average.
Forecasts suggest a recovery in prices, with Zillow predicting a 0.5% increase in February 2025, a 1.1% increase by April 2025, and a total growth of 3.0% from January 2025 to January 2026. This moderate growth trajectory is consistent with projections from other sources, such as Norada Real Estate, which anticipate continued appreciation of 2-4% in 2026. Historical data also shows significant growth, with a 24.4% year-over-year increase in June 2024 (median sale price $170,000), indicating the market's resilience despite recent fluctuations.
A table summarizing key price metrics is provided below for clarity:
| **Metric** | **Value (Feb 2025)** | **Year-over-Year Change** | **Forecast (Apr 2025)** |
|--------------------------------|----------------------|---------------------------|-------------------------|
| Median Sale Price | $162,990 | -4.0% | +1.1% (projected) |
| National Median Comparison | 56% below ($396,900)| N/A | N/A |
| Historical High (Jun 2024) | $170,000 | +24.4% (YoY) | N/A |
This table highlights the recent dip and the expected recovery, positioning Topeka as a stable market with growth potential.
#### Sales Activity and Inventory Levels
Sales activity remains robust, with 111 homes sold in February 2025, a 5.7% increase from the 105 homes sold in February 2024, per Norada Real Estate. This uptick suggests sustained buyer interest, particularly in a market ranked as a top emerging real estate market in 2023 by WSJ/Realtor.com®. However, some sources note a slight drop in sales from 174 to 168 year-over-year in earlier periods, indicating variability that may be seasonal or market-specific.
Inventory levels are low, contributing to the competitive market dynamics. Rocket Homes reported only 25 homes for sale in January 2025, though this figure may reflect active listings rather than total inventory. The low inventory, combined with strong demand, has historically led to homes selling quickly, often within a week, as noted in April 2024 data. The increase in days on market to 35 days in February 2025 suggests a slight improvement in supply, which could ease competition in the coming months.
#### Economic and Demographic Influences
Several factors are shaping Topeka's real estate trends. Economic stability and job market trends are significant drivers, with Topeka's stable population and economic base supporting consistent demand. The cost of living, 14% below the national average, enhances affordability, making Topeka attractive for both homebuyers and investors. However, higher mortgage rates, with a 30-year fixed rate at 6.65% and a 15-year fixed at 5.8% as of mid-March 2025, may impact affordability, particularly for first-time buyers.
Population growth, while stable, is another factor, with Topeka's ranking as a top emerging market suggesting potential for increased interest from investors. The market's low volatility and consistent rental demand, as noted in Steadily.com, further support long-term investment potential.
#### Comparison with Other Kansas Cities
Topeka's growth is moderate compared to other Kansas cities, as shown in the following table based on Zillow forecasts:
| **City** | **Feb 2025 Growth** | **Apr 2025 Growth** | **1-Year Growth (Jan 2025-Jan 2026)** |
|----------------|---------------------|---------------------|---------------------------------------|
| Topeka | 0.5% | 1.1% | 3.0% |
| Wichita | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.7% |
| Manhattan | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Lawrence | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% |
| Hutchinson | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% |
| Salina | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% |
| Garden City | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
This comparison positions Topeka as a stable and growing market, though not the fastest in the state, with cities like Lawrence and Hutchinson showing slightly higher projected increases.
#### Future Outlook and Investment Potential
The long-term outlook for Topeka is positive, with no significant price crash expected in the immediate future. Forecasts from Norada Real Estate suggest continued moderate growth of 2-4% in 2026, supported by Topeka's ranking as a top emerging market and its affordability. U.S. home prices are expected to rise 15-25% in the next five years, per Innago, which could imply further growth for Topeka. Investors are particularly drawn to the solid rental market and stable economy, with low volatility reducing risk.
Key considerations for investors include monitoring economic indicators such as interest rates, inflation, and job growth, as these factors can influence market conditions. Diversification, such as investing in real estate investment trusts (REITs), can also mitigate risks, as suggested by Steadily.com.
#### Conclusion
As of April 2025, Topeka's real estate market is competitive but showing signs of stabilization, with a slight price dip in early 2025 offset by forecasted moderate growth. The market's affordability, strong sales activity, and ranking as a top emerging market make it attractive for buyers and investors, though higher mortgage rates and increased days on market suggest some challenges. This comprehensive analysis provides a foundation for informed decision-making in Topeka's dynamic real estate landscape.
### Key Citations
- [Topeka KS Real Estate Market Trends & Home Values Realtytrac](https://www.realtytrac.com/market-trends/topeka-ks/)
- [Topeka Housing Market House Prices & Trends Redfin](https://www.redfin.com/city/18143/KS/Topeka/housing-market)
- [Topeka Housing Market Trends and Forecast 2025-2026 Norada Real Estate](https://www.noradarealestate.com/blog/topeka-real-estate-market/)
- [Topeka KS Real Estate Market Overview 2025 Steadily](https://www.steadily.com/blog/topeka-ks-real-estate-market-overview)
- [Topeka Real Estate Market Appreciation & Housing Market Trends NeighborhoodScout](https://www.neighborhoodscout.com/ks/topeka/real-estate)
- [Market Statistics Kansas Association of REALTORS®](https://kansasrealtor.com/news-media/market-stats/)
- [Topeka America's No 1 emerging real estate market KSNT 27 News](https://www.ksnt.com/news/local-news/topeka-americas-no-1-emerging-real-estate-market/)
- [Real Estate Trends In Kansas 2025 Steadily](https://www.steadily.com/blog/real-estate-trends-kansas)
Henry McClure
785.383.9994
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time kills deals
785.383.9994
sent from mobile 📱
time kills deals